CapTradeAI Dashboard

Market Regime

Detected once every cycle from price trend, momentum, volatility and volume across all monitored assets (the same regime applies to every user — it's a property of the market, not your personal holdings). Drives which strategies get higher weight.

There are exactly 8 possible states, shown left-to-right in the spectrum strip above as Bear → Sideways → Bull. It's really two separate things, not one straight line:

• 💥 Strong Bear — clear downtrend, high confidence, sells favoured, buys blocked
• 🐻 Weak Bear — bearish but early or uncertain, reduced buy confidence
• 🌪️ High-Vol Bear — falling and unusually choppy; replaces strong/weak bear when volatility spikes
• ➖ Tight Sideways — no clear direction, low volatility (<1.5%); range-trading strategies (Grid, Bollinger) favoured
• ↔️ Wide Sideways — no clear direction, but choppier than "tight" — same idea, wider range
• 🌪️ High-Vol Bull — rising and unusually choppy; replaces strong/weak bull when volatility spikes
• 🐂 Weak Bull — bullish but early or uncertain, cautious buys
• 🚀 Strong Bull — clear uptrend, high confidence, aggressive positioning

The two High-Vol states aren't "between" the others on the spectrum — they're an alternate, noisier version of Bull/Bear that overrides Strong/Weak whenever volatility is elevated. Tight vs. Wide Sideways is about how choppy a non-trending market is, not a step toward Bull or Bear.

Regime indicators

• Confidence % — how strongly the detected signals agree on the current regime. Below 50% means mixed signals.
• Trend % — average MA-crossover + price-slope signal across all assets. Negative = bearish lean, positive = bullish lean, near 0% = sideways. Values above ±5% are meaningful.
• Momentum % — average price change across assets over recent cycles (3/5/10 periods). Shows how fast prices are moving. Near 0% = flat; above 1% = accelerating up; below −1% = accelerating down.
• Volatility % — relative volatility compared to baseline. 100% = normal. Below 100% = unusually calm; above 130% = elevated turbulence. High volatility increases signal noise and shifts weight toward sentiment strategies.
• Volume % — average absolute price change per cycle across assets, used as a volume proxy. Below 0.5% = very stable prices; above 2% = high market activity.

Sentiment

Four sentiment signals shown in the header. F&G, Macro, and Micro influence agent voting. Funding rate is display-only context.

Fear & Greed (F&G)

• 0–25 Extreme Fear — market is panicking; contrarian buy opportunity, but agent is cautious
• 26–45 Fear — below-average sentiment; sell threshold tightened by macro context
• 46–55 Neutral — balanced market mood
• 56–75 Greed — bullish sentiment; buys more likely
• 76–100 Extreme Greed — euphoria; agent watches for overbought conditions

Macro (market-wide)

• Risk On — macro backdrop is supportive; buy signals carry more weight
• Neutral + — mildly supportive macro; slight buy lean
• Neutral — no strong macro signal
• Risk Off — on-chain flows, geopolitics, or regulatory news are bearish; sell thresholds tightened
• Crisis — extreme macro stress; most buys blocked

Micro (asset-level)

• Extreme Bearish / Bearish — community engagement and social data are negative; adds sell weight
• Neutral — no strong asset-level signal; sentiment abstains from voting
• Bullish / Strong Bullish — elevated engagement and positive social data; adds buy weight

Funding Rate (display only — BTC perpetual, Binance)

• > +0.05% — longs heavily crowded; elevated squeeze or correction risk
• +0.02% – +0.05% — mild long bias; market is leaning bullish but not extreme
• −0.02% – +0.02% — neutral; no strong directional conviction in futures market
• < −0.02% — shorts crowded; short squeeze potential, contrarian bullish signal
• Updates every page load. Bracket shows time until next 8h settlement.

How decisions are made

Every 5 minutes the agent runs 8 strategies in parallel. Each votes BUY, SELL, or HOLD for up to 3 assets. Votes are weighted and must reach a consensus before an order is placed.

• RSI — momentum oscillator; oversold = buy signal, overbought = sell
• MA — moving average crossovers (20/50/100/200-period trend)
• Bollinger — volatility breakout / bounce at band boundaries
• Volume — OBV trend and relative volume confirmation
• AI — ML model (XGBoost + CatBoost + LGBM + LSTM ensemble)
• Micro Sentiment — Fear & Greed + Reddit engagement per asset
• Macro Sentiment — on-chain flows, geopolitics, regulatory news
• Grid — standalone range buy/sell in flat (tight-sideways) markets; trades on its own without needing other strategies to agree (Pro)

Most trades require ≥ 2 strategies to agree with a combined normalized weight ≥ 22% of total strategy opinion, adjusted by the detected market regime. The exception is Grid: in flat sideways markets it acts as a standalone range-trader and can execute on its own (a stronger opposing signal still vetoes it).